Global Transformation in the Mirror of Historical Sociology

January 14, 2017, 10:00 – 12:00, Building 5, 2nd Floor, Room 222

The majority of the future forecasts of the 20th century were based on growth prospects, whether of the economy, science and engineering, or population, or recovery of specific countries and regions. The first decades of the new 21st century brought considerable disillusion verging on disappointment in the modernistic pattern of steady progress. From everywhere, one can hear some doubts not only about the usefulness, but already about the inconvertibility of globalization. What is journalistic noise and what is really captured by the methods of modern science? This session offers a kind of stress test for the world powers. Leading academic experts analyze the prospects of traditional centers of capitalism and newly emerging market regions.

Moderator

Participants

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The majority of the future forecasts of the 20th century were based on growth prospects, whether of the economy, science and engineering, or population, or recovery of specific countries and regions. The first decades of the new 21st century brought considerable disillusion verging on disappointment in the modernistic pattern of steady progress. From everywhere, one can hear some doubts not only about the usefulness, but already about the inconvertibility of globalization. What is journalistic noise and what is really captured by the methods of modern science? This session offers a kind of stress test for the world powers. Leading academic experts analyze the prospects of traditional centers of capitalism and newly emerging market regions.

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The majority of the future forecasts of the 20th century were based on growth prospects, whether of the economy, science and engineering, or population, or recovery of specific countries and regions. The first decades of the new 21st century brought considerable disillusion verging on disappointment in the modernistic pattern of steady progress. From everywhere, one can hear some doubts not only about the usefulness, but already about the inconvertibility of globalization. What is journalistic noise and what is really captured by the methods of modern science? This session offers a kind of stress test for the world powers. Leading academic experts analyze the prospects of traditional centers of capitalism and newly emerging market regions.

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The majority of the future forecasts of the 20th century were based on growth prospects, whether of the economy, science and engineering, or population, or recovery of specific countries and regions. The first decades of the new 21st century brought considerable disillusion verging on disappointment in the modernistic pattern of steady progress. From everywhere, one can hear some doubts not only about the usefulness, but already about the inconvertibility of globalization. What is journalistic noise and what is really captured by the methods of modern science? This session offers a kind of stress test for the world powers. Leading academic experts analyze the prospects of traditional centers of capitalism and newly emerging market regions.

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2017-12-20 14:20:36 [IBLOCK_ID] => 18 [NAME] => Изменение [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 160 [CODE] => CHANGE [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => C [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Изменение [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [LANGUAGES] => Array ( [ID] => 224 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2017-12-20 14:26:52 [IBLOCK_ID] => 18 [NAME] => Рабочие языки [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 170 [CODE] => LANGUAGES [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => C [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Рабочие языки [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [INVITATION_ONLY] => Array ( [ID] => 225 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2017-12-22 18:34:07 [IBLOCK_ID] => 18 [NAME] => Вход по индивидуальным приглашениям [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 180 [CODE] => INVITATION_ONLY [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => C [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Вход по индивидуальным приглашениям [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [PREMIUM_ONLY] => Array ( [ID] => 233 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2017-12-22 18:34:07 [IBLOCK_ID] => 18 [NAME] => Вход с бэйджами категории «ПРЕМИУМ» [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 190 [CODE] => PREMIUM_ONLY [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => C [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Вход с бэйджами категории «ПРЕМИУМ» [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [KEYNOTE_FILE] => Array ( [ID] => 239 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2019-01-14 21:47:41 [IBLOCK_ID] => 18 [NAME] => Доклад [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 200 [CODE] => KEYNOTE_FILE [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => F [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => [FILE_TYPE] => pdf [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => Y [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Доклад [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [OPENINGS] => Array ( [ID] => 241 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-01-05 18:10:45 [IBLOCK_ID] => 18 [NAME] => Открытие [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 500 [CODE] => OPENINGS [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => E [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 17 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Открытие [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [EVENT_CATEGORY] => Array ( [ID] => 298 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2019-12-27 11:18:04 [IBLOCK_ID] => 18 [NAME] => Категория мероприятия [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 500 [CODE] => EVENT_CATEGORY [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Категория мероприятия [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [KEYREPORT2S] => Array ( [ID] => 306 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2019-12-31 10:17:49 [IBLOCK_ID] => 18 [NAME] => Ключевые выступления [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 500 [CODE] => KEYREPORT2S [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => E [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 17 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Ключевые выступления [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) ) [DISPLAY_PROPERTIES] => Array ( [LOCATION] => Array ( [ID] => 54 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2017-12-20 14:14:00 [IBLOCK_ID] => 18 [NAME] => Место проведения мероприятия [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 30 [CODE] => LOCATION [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => S [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 19 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => 5360 [VALUE] => Building 5, 2nd Floor, Room 222 [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => Building 5, 2nd Floor, Room 222 [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Место проведения мероприятия [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => [DISPLAY_VALUE] => Building 5, 2nd Floor, Room 222 ) [MODERATORS] => Array ( [ID] => 52 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2017-12-20 14:15:56 [IBLOCK_ID] => 18 [NAME] => Модераторы [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 40 [CODE] => MODERATORS [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => E [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => 14 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 17 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => Array ( [0] => 5359 ) [VALUE] => Array ( [0] => 1859 ) [DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => ) [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => Array ( [0] => 1859 ) [~DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => ) [~NAME] => Модераторы [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => [DISPLAY_VALUE] => Georgi Derluguian [LINK_ELEMENT_VALUE] => Array ( [1859] => Array ( [ID] => 1859 [~ID] => 1859 [IBLOCK_ID] => 17 [~IBLOCK_ID] => 17 [NAME] => Georgi Derluguian [~NAME] => Georgi Derluguian [DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => /experts/georgi-derluguian/ [~DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => /experts/georgi-derluguian/ [PREVIEW_PICTURE] => 13962 [~PREVIEW_PICTURE] => 13962 [DETAIL_PICTURE] => [~DETAIL_PICTURE] => [SORT] => 500 [~SORT] => 500 [LANG_DIR] => / [~LANG_DIR] => / [CODE] => georgi-derluguian [~CODE] => georgi-derluguian [EXTERNAL_ID] => 1859 [~EXTERNAL_ID] => 1859 [IBLOCK_SECTION_ID] => 168 [~IBLOCK_SECTION_ID] => 168 [IBLOCK_TYPE_ID] => content [~IBLOCK_TYPE_ID] => content [IBLOCK_CODE] => experts [~IBLOCK_CODE] => experts [IBLOCK_EXTERNAL_ID] => 800 [~IBLOCK_EXTERNAL_ID] => 800 [LID] => en [~LID] => en ) ) ) [MEMBERS] => Array ( [ID] => 69 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2017-12-20 14:18:19 [IBLOCK_ID] => 18 [NAME] => Участники [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 70 [CODE] => MEMBERS [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => E [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 17 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => Array ( [0] => 8688 [1] => 8689 [2] => 8690 [3] => 8691 ) [VALUE] => Array ( [0] => 1218 [1] => 1214 [2] => 1147 [3] => 1143 ) [DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => [1] => [2] => [3] => ) [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => Array ( [0] => 1218 [1] => 1214 [2] => 1147 [3] => 1143 ) [~DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => [1] => [2] => [3] => ) [~NAME] => Участники [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => [DISPLAY_VALUE] => Array ( [0] => Monica Prasad [1] => Ho-Fung Hung [2] => Wolfgang Streeck ) [LINK_ELEMENT_VALUE] => Array ( [1218] => Array ( [ID] => 1218 [~ID] => 1218 [IBLOCK_ID] => 17 [~IBLOCK_ID] => 17 [NAME] => Monica Prasad [~NAME] => Monica Prasad [DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => /experts/monica-prasad/ [~DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => /experts/monica-prasad/ [PREVIEW_PICTURE] => 676 [~PREVIEW_PICTURE] => 676 [DETAIL_PICTURE] => [~DETAIL_PICTURE] => [SORT] => 500 [~SORT] => 500 [LANG_DIR] => / [~LANG_DIR] => / [CODE] => monica-prasad [~CODE] => monica-prasad [EXTERNAL_ID] => 1218 [~EXTERNAL_ID] => 1218 [IBLOCK_SECTION_ID] => 168 [~IBLOCK_SECTION_ID] => 168 [IBLOCK_TYPE_ID] => content [~IBLOCK_TYPE_ID] => content [IBLOCK_CODE] => experts [~IBLOCK_CODE] => experts [IBLOCK_EXTERNAL_ID] => 800 [~IBLOCK_EXTERNAL_ID] => 800 [LID] => en [~LID] => en ) [1214] => Array ( [ID] => 1214 [~ID] => 1214 [IBLOCK_ID] => 17 [~IBLOCK_ID] => 17 [NAME] => Ho-Fung Hung [~NAME] => Ho-Fung Hung [DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => /experts/ho-fung-hung/ [~DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => /experts/ho-fung-hung/ [PREVIEW_PICTURE] => 671 [~PREVIEW_PICTURE] => 671 [DETAIL_PICTURE] => [~DETAIL_PICTURE] => [SORT] => 500 [~SORT] => 500 [LANG_DIR] => / [~LANG_DIR] => / [CODE] => ho-fung-hung [~CODE] => ho-fung-hung [EXTERNAL_ID] => 1214 [~EXTERNAL_ID] => 1214 [IBLOCK_SECTION_ID] => 168 [~IBLOCK_SECTION_ID] => 168 [IBLOCK_TYPE_ID] => content [~IBLOCK_TYPE_ID] => content [IBLOCK_CODE] => experts [~IBLOCK_CODE] => experts [IBLOCK_EXTERNAL_ID] => 800 [~IBLOCK_EXTERNAL_ID] => 800 [LID] => en [~LID] => en ) [1147] => Array ( [ID] => 1147 [~ID] => 1147 [IBLOCK_ID] => 17 [~IBLOCK_ID] => 17 [NAME] => Wolfgang Streeck [~NAME] => Wolfgang Streeck [DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => /experts/wolfgang-streeck/ [~DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => /experts/wolfgang-streeck/ [PREVIEW_PICTURE] => 677 [~PREVIEW_PICTURE] => 677 [DETAIL_PICTURE] => [~DETAIL_PICTURE] => [SORT] => 500 [~SORT] => 500 [LANG_DIR] => / [~LANG_DIR] => / [CODE] => wolfgang-streeck [~CODE] => wolfgang-streeck [EXTERNAL_ID] => 1147 [~EXTERNAL_ID] => 1147 [IBLOCK_SECTION_ID] => 168 [~IBLOCK_SECTION_ID] => 168 [IBLOCK_TYPE_ID] => content [~IBLOCK_TYPE_ID] => content [IBLOCK_CODE] => experts [~IBLOCK_CODE] => experts [IBLOCK_EXTERNAL_ID] => 800 [~IBLOCK_EXTERNAL_ID] => 800 [LID] => en [~LID] => en ) ) ) ) [IBLOCK] => Array ( [ID] => 18 [~ID] => 18 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 01/16/2020 12:52:35 pm [~TIMESTAMP_X] => 01/16/2020 12:52:35 pm [IBLOCK_TYPE_ID] => content [~IBLOCK_TYPE_ID] => content [LID] => en [~LID] => en [CODE] => program [~CODE] => program [NAME] => Forum program [~NAME] => Forum program [ACTIVE] => Y [~ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 9000 [~SORT] => 9000 [LIST_PAGE_URL] => /program/ [~LIST_PAGE_URL] => /program/ [DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => #SITE_DIR#/program/#SECTION_CODE_PATH#/#ELEMENT_CODE#/ [~DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => #SITE_DIR#/program/#SECTION_CODE_PATH#/#ELEMENT_CODE#/ [SECTION_PAGE_URL] => #SITE_DIR#/program/#SECTION_CODE_PATH#/ [~SECTION_PAGE_URL] => #SITE_DIR#/program/#SECTION_CODE_PATH#/ [CANONICAL_PAGE_URL] => [~CANONICAL_PAGE_URL] => [PICTURE] => [~PICTURE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [DESCRIPTION_TYPE] => text [~DESCRIPTION_TYPE] => text [RSS_TTL] => 24 [~RSS_TTL] => 24 [RSS_ACTIVE] => Y [~RSS_ACTIVE] => Y [RSS_FILE_ACTIVE] => N [~RSS_FILE_ACTIVE] => N [RSS_FILE_LIMIT] => [~RSS_FILE_LIMIT] => [RSS_FILE_DAYS] => [~RSS_FILE_DAYS] => [RSS_YANDEX_ACTIVE] => N [~RSS_YANDEX_ACTIVE] => N [XML_ID] => 900 [~XML_ID] => 900 [TMP_ID] => cd00f8d356e8ae6a7d709487233896c1 [~TMP_ID] => cd00f8d356e8ae6a7d709487233896c1 [INDEX_ELEMENT] => Y [~INDEX_ELEMENT] => Y [INDEX_SECTION] => Y [~INDEX_SECTION] => Y [WORKFLOW] => N [~WORKFLOW] => N [BIZPROC] => N [~BIZPROC] => N [SECTION_CHOOSER] => L [~SECTION_CHOOSER] => L [LIST_MODE] => [~LIST_MODE] => [RIGHTS_MODE] => S [~RIGHTS_MODE] => S [SECTION_PROPERTY] => N [~SECTION_PROPERTY] => N [PROPERTY_INDEX] => N [~PROPERTY_INDEX] => N [VERSION] => 1 [~VERSION] => 1 [LAST_CONV_ELEMENT] => 0 [~LAST_CONV_ELEMENT] => 0 [SOCNET_GROUP_ID] => [~SOCNET_GROUP_ID] => [EDIT_FILE_BEFORE] => [~EDIT_FILE_BEFORE] => [EDIT_FILE_AFTER] => [~EDIT_FILE_AFTER] => [SECTIONS_NAME] => Разделы [~SECTIONS_NAME] => Разделы [SECTION_NAME] => Раздел [~SECTION_NAME] => Раздел [ELEMENTS_NAME] => Элементы [~ELEMENTS_NAME] => Элементы [ELEMENT_NAME] => Элемент [~ELEMENT_NAME] => Элемент [EXTERNAL_ID] => 900 [~EXTERNAL_ID] => 900 [LANG_DIR] => / [~LANG_DIR] => / [SERVER_NAME] => en.gaidarforum.ru [~SERVER_NAME] => en.gaidarforum.ru ) [SECTION] => Array ( [PATH] => Array ( ) ) [SECTION_URL] => [META_TAGS] => Array ( [TITLE] => Global Transformation in the Mirror of Historical Sociology [ELEMENT_CHAIN] => Global Transformation in the Mirror of Historical Sociology [BROWSER_TITLE] => [KEYWORDS] => [DESCRIPTION] => ) [EXPERTSTYPES] => Array ( [0] => OPENINGS [1] => SAY_HIS [2] => MODERATORS [3] => KEYREPORT_MODERATOR [4] => KEYREPORTS [5] => KEYREPORT2S [6] => SPEAKERS [7] => SPEECH [8] => PRESENTATIONS [9] => MEMBERS [10] => PARTICIPANTS [11] => MEMBERS_AND_EXPERTS [12] => DISCUSS_MEMBERS [13] => AUTHORS [14] => LECTORS ) [DATE_EVENT] => January 14, 2017 [START_TIME] => 10:00 [END_TIME] => 12:00 [TIME_EVENT] => January 14 [OGDESC] =>

The majority of the future forecasts of the 20th century were based on growth prospects, whether of the economy, science and engineering, or population, or recovery of specific countries and regions. The first decades of the new 21st century brought considerable disillusion verging on disappointment in the modernistic pattern of steady progress. From everywhere, one can hear some doubts not only about the usefulness, but already about the inconvertibility of globalization. What is journalistic noise and what is really captured by the methods of modern science? This session offers a kind of stress test for the world powers. Leading academic experts analyze the prospects of traditional centers of capitalism and newly emerging market regions.

)